Course: Excess Deaths From COVID-19 and Other Causes in the US, March 1, 2020, to January 2, 2021
CME Credits: 1.00
Released: 2021-04-02
A study analyzing US mortality in March-July 2020 reported a 20% increase in excess deaths, only partly explained by COVID-19. Surges in excess deaths varied in timing and duration across states and were accompanied by increased mortality from non–COVID-19 causes. This study updates the analysis for the remainder of 2020.
The details the methods. A Poisson regression model used mortality data from 2014-2019 to predict US expected deaths in 2020. Observed deaths in weeks ending March 1, 2020, through January 2, 2021, were taken from provisional, unweighted death counts for the District of Columbia and 49 states, excluding North Carolina for insufficient data. Data sources included the National Center for Health Statistics- and US Census Bureau. Data for 8 geographic regions were grouped into distinctive surge patterns. COVID-19 deaths included all deaths for which COVID-19 was cited as an underlying or contributing cause.
Educational Objective
To identify the key insights or developments described in this article
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